2022-08-17
Analysis of the development situation of the steel industry and interpretation of high-quality development guidelines and policies
At present, the global economy continues to recover as a whole, and the epidemic has exacerbated the differentiation of the global economy. In the future, the development of the green economy and the digital economy will accelerate and become an important driving force for the recovery of the global economy. From a domestic point of view, my country's economic performance in 2021 is outstanding, with a GDP growth rate of 8.1%, achieving a good start to the "14th Five-Year Plan". In 2022, my country's economic work will be "stable", and policy efforts will be appropriately advanced, but we still need to pay attention to the significantly increased downward pressure and the potential risks behind the expected weakening.
As the basic industry of the national economy, my country's iron and steel industry is an important food for the industry, an important guarantee for construction, and an important support for the economy. power industry, and will lead the development of the world's iron and steel industry for a long time with five characteristics. Therefore, we must correctly understand the status of my country's iron and steel industry. At present, my country's iron and steel industry is evolving to a high-quality and low-carbon stage.
The operation of my country's iron and steel industry in 2021 will show the following characteristics: crude steel output is high and low, and the cumulative decline is year-on-year; steel imports and exports are facing new directions; total steel exports are higher than the previous year, and fall month by month in the second half of the year; iron ore prices rise It continued to rise in half a year, and fell back in the second half of the year; the industry's efficiency reached a record high; the price of steel fluctuated upward, and began to retreat from a high level in the fourth quarter. Combining the current consumption situation of the steel market and the development trend of the main steel-using industries, and considering the economic development trend, the implementation of policies related to stable growth, and the impact of the "double carbon" policy, it is comprehensively judged that my country's steel demand will remain high in 2022, and the "14th Five-Year Plan" Steel demand will remain high and slowly decline.
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